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Measuring regional resilience towards fossil fuel supply constraints. Adaptability and vulnerability in socio-ecological Transformations-the case of Austria

机译:衡量区域对化石燃料供应限制的抵御能力。社会生态转型中的适应性和脆弱性-奥地利的情况

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摘要

Resilience has become a prominent concept to understand system vulnerabilities flexible ways of adapting to crises. Recently, it gained importance in discussions a the possible peak in oil production (peak oil) and its consequences, which might a economic performance, social well-being and political stability, and thus also the e transition to a low-carbon economy. The paper presents a new way of measuring resilience as absolute resilience related to a best practice-model of a resilient socie The resilience model is grounded in explicit theoretical assumptions. All indicators justified by theoretical and empirical arguments. We present a case study of Austr municipalities and broader-scale spatial types, which were defined according to th degree of urbanization. The mean resilience of Austrian municipalities is moderate difference between resilience values of municipalities is small. Significant different between spatial types exist. Higher resilience is displayed by less urbanized types due to a higher share of agricultural activities and a more favorable level of GDP per capita. Austria has considerable latitude to improve resilience. Corresponding policies should target resilience components with the lowest values first. A sole focus on regionalization is not recommended. These conclusions are applicable to OECD countries in general. (authors' abstract)
机译:弹性已成为理解系统漏洞以灵活方式适应危机的一种重要概念。最近,它在讨论中变得尤为重要,因为石油产量(峰值石油)及其后果可能达到顶峰,这可能会导致经济表现,社会福祉和政治稳定,进而向低碳经济过渡。本文提出了一种测量弹性的新方法,即与弹性社会的最佳实践模型相关的绝对弹性。弹性模型基于明确的理论假设。所有指标均由理论和经验论证证明。我们将根据城市化程度来定义Austr自治市和更广泛的空间类型的案例研究。奥地利市政当局的平均弹性是中等的,市政当局的弹性值之间的差异很小。空间类型之间存在显着差异。由于农业活动所占比例较高和人均GDP较有利,城市化程度较低的城市显示出较高的复原力。奥地利有很大的自由度来提高弹性。相应的策略应首先针对具有最低值的弹性组件。不建议仅关注区域化。这些结论总体上适用于经合组织国家。 (作者摘要)

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